25 April 2009

Trade Value Chart for the 2009 NFL Draft


There should be plenty of trades in the 2009 NFL Draft and I present you our Draft Trade Value Chart. The chart shows us what each pick is worth based off of a point value. 

Studying the chart you can see why teams rarely trade up into the top 10. For example, the 10th over-all selection is worth 1300 points. To give up enough picks to equal 1300 points you would have to give up your second round pick (40th), worth 500 points, two of your 3rd round picks (68th), worth 250 each. That brings us to only 1000 points.  So now let's throw in a fourth round pick (100th), worth 100 points and a 6th round pick, (166th) for 25 points, and a seventh round pick (203rd) for 10 points.  Well folks, that only gives us 1,175 points, yes we are in the ball park, but you would you basically have to give up your entire draft.

Now the real world, we will use the New York Jets, the rumor is they want to move up to the 4th spot and select USC QB Mark Sanchez. If they give up there own first round pick at #17 they earn 950 points, their 52nd pick is worth 380 points, their 76th pick is worth 210 points, their 115th pick is worth 64 points, and their 193rd pick is only worth 14 measly points.

That only totals 1,618 points and the 4th over-all selection is worth 1,800 points, so as you can see it will be very expensive for the Jets to move up that high. If they gave up their entire draft they would be in the ball park, but more than likely they will have to throw in next years' first rounder in the mix somewhere. Is Sanchez really worth all that? I don't think so because there is still a very good chance Sanchez falls down to them anyway.

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